Publications
• Wessel, J. B., Murphy-Barltrop, C. J. R. and Simpson, E. S. (2026+). Generative machine learning for multivariate angular simulation. Extremes (to appear).
• Simpson, E. S. and Northrop, P. J. (2026). Accounting for missing data when modelling block maxima. Environmetrics, 37(2):e70075.
• Simpson, E. S. and Tawn, J. A. (2025). Inference for new environmental contours using extreme value analysis. Journal of Agricultural, Biological and Environmental Statistics, 30(3):638-662.
• Simpson, E. S. and Tawn, J. A. (2024). Estimating the limiting shape of bivariate scaled sample clouds: with additional benefits of self-consistent inference for existing extremal dependence properties. Electronic Journal of Statistics, 18(2):4582-4611.
• Kakampakou, L., Simpson, E. S. and Wadsworth, J. L. (2024). Spatial extremal modelling: A case study on the interplay between margins and dependence. Stat, 13(4):e70021.
• Simpson, E. S., Opitz, T. and Wadsworth, J. L. (2023). High-dimensional modeling of spatial and spatio-temporal conditional extremes using INLA and Gaussian Markov random fields. Extremes, 26(4):669-713.
• D'Arcy, E., Murphy-Barltrop, C. J. R., Shooter, R. and Simpson, E. S. (2023). A marginal modelling approach for predicting wildfire extremes across the contiguous United States. Extremes, 26(2):381-398.
• Simpson, E. S., Wadsworth, J. L. and Tawn, J. A. (2021). A geometric investigation into the tail dependence of vine copulas. Journal of Multivariate Analysis, 184:104736.
• Simpson, E. S. and Wadsworth, J. L. (2021). Conditional modelling of spatio-temporal extremes for Red Sea surface temperatures. Spatial Statistics, 41:100482.
• Rohrbeck, C., Simpson, E. S. and Towe, R. P. (2021). A spatio-temporal model for Red Sea surface temperature anomalies. Extremes, 24(1):129-144.
• Simpson, E. S., Wadsworth, J. L. and Tawn, J. A. (2020). Determining the dependence structure of multivariate extremes. Biometrika, 107(3):513-532.
• Barlow, A. M., Rohrbeck, C., Sharkey, P., Shooter, R. and Simpson, E. S. (2018). A Bayesian spatio-temporal model for precipitation extremes - STOR team contribution to the EVA2017 challenge. Extremes, 21(3):431-439.
• Julian, B. R., Foulger, G. R., Hatfield, O. T., Jackson, S. E., Simpson, E. S., Einbeck, J. and Moore, A. (2015). Hotspots in hindsight. Geological Society of America Special Papers, 514:105-121.
• Simpson, E. S. and Wadsworth, J. L. (2026+). Conditional extremes modeling. Book chapter for the upcoming Handbook of Statistics of Extremes, Chapman & Hall/CRC Press.
• Rohrbeck, C., Simpson, E. S. and Tawn, J. A. (2025). Editorial: EVA (2023) conference data challenge. Extremes, 28(1):1-21.
• Lee, B. S., Majumder, R., Richards, J., Simpson, E. S. and Zhang, L. (2026). Spatial extremes at scale: A case study of surface skin temperature and heat risk in the United States. In submission.
Code and other resources• Code to accompany the paper "Accounting for missing data when modelling block maxima" is available in the R package evmissing on CRAN.
• Code to accompany some of the other work above can be found on my GitHub page.
• The dataset generated for the EVA (2023) conference data challenge is available from the University of Bath Research Data Archive.