Publications


• Simpson, E. S. and Tawn J. A. (2024). Inference for new environmental contours using extreme value analysis. Journal of Agricultural, Biological and Environmental Statistics (to appear).
• Simpson, E. S., Opitz, T. and Wadsworth, J. L. (2023). High-dimensional modeling of spatial and spatio-temporal conditional extremes using INLA and Gaussian Markov random fields. Extremes, 26:669-713.
• D'Arcy, E., Murphy-Barltrop, C. J. R., Shooter, R. and Simpson, E. S. (2023). A marginal modelling approach for predicting wildfire extremes across the contiguous United States. Extremes, 26:381-398.
• Simpson, E. S., Wadsworth, J. L. and Tawn, J. A. (2021). A geometric investigation into the tail dependence of vine copulas. Journal of Multivariate Analysis, 184:104736.
• Simpson, E. S. and Wadsworth, J. L. (2021). Conditional modelling of spatio-temporal extremes for Red Sea surface temperatures. Spatial Statistics, 41:100482.
• Rohrbeck, C., Simpson, E. S. and Towe, R. P. (2021). A spatio-temporal model for Red Sea surface temperature anomalies. Extremes, 24(1):129-144.
• Simpson, E. S., Wadsworth, J. L. and Tawn, J. A. (2020). Determining the dependence structure of multivariate extremes. Biometrika, 107(3):513-532.
• Barlow, A. M., Rohrbeck, C., Sharkey, P., Shooter, R. and Simpson, E. S. (2018). A Bayesian spatio-temporal model for precipitation extremes - STOR team contribution to the EVA2017 challenge. Extremes, 21(3):431-439.
• Julian, B. R., Foulger, G. R., Hatfield, O. T., Jackson, S. E., Simpson, E. S., Einbeck, J. and Moore, A. (2015). Hotspots in hindsight. Geological Society of America Special Papers, 514:105-121.

Papers currently in submission or under review

• Simpson, E. S. and Tawn J. A. (2024). Estimating the limiting shape of bivariate scaled sample clouds: with additional benefits of self-consistent inference for existing extremal dependence properties.
• Rohrbeck, C., Simpson, E. S. and Tawn J. A. (2023). Editorial: EVA 2023 data challenge.

Code
R code to accompany some of the work above can be found on my GitHub page.