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Pedro
Carneiro
Professor
Department
of Economics
University
College London
Institute
for Fiscal Studies
Centre for
Microdata Methods and Practice
Email: p.carneiro@ucl.ac.uk
CV
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Recent Working Papers (for publications see below)
Interactions:
Do Teacher Behaviors Predict Achievement, Executive Function, and Non-Cognitive
Outcomes in Elementary School (with Alejandra Campos, Yyannu Cruz-Aguayo,
Carolina Echeverry and Norbert Schady), 2024
The Timing of Shocks Across Childhood: Does it Matter? (with Kjell
Salvanes, Barton Willage and Alexander Willen), 2025
Free Access to Daycare, Labor Supply and Child Development (with Orazio
Attanasio, Ricardo Paes de Barros, David Evans, Lycia Lima, Pedro Olinto and
Norbert Schady), 2025
Dynamic Complementarity in Elementary Schools: Experimental Evidence from
Ecuador (with Yyannu Cruz, Rafael Hernandez, and Norbert Schady), 2025
Promoting
Treatment Adherence among Opioid-dependent Patients through Social and
Financial Incentives (with Mengna Luan and Yiming Xia), 2025
Accelerating
Birth Timing to Access Cash Transfers? Evidence from Households in Extreme
Poverty (with Lucy Kraftman, Imran Rasul, Francesca Salvati and Molly Scott),
2025
Families as
Drivers of Inequality (with Imran Rasul and Francesca Salvati), 2024
Can Grit Be Taught?
Lessons from a Nationwide Field Experiment with Middle-School Students (with
Indhira Santos, Violeta Petroska-Beska, Pedro Carneiro, Lauren Eskreis-Winkler,
Ana Maria Munoz Boudet, Ines Berniell, Christian Krekel, Omar Arias and Angela
Duckworth), 2025
The Short and Medium Term Impacts of Sure Start
on Educational Outcomes (with Sarah Cattan, Claire Crawford and Nick Redpath),
2024
Parental Investments and Socio-Economic Gradients in Learnings Across
European Countries (with Alessandro Toppeta and Hugo Reis), 2025
Can Informal Health Providers Help Reach the Last Mile? Experimental
Evidence on Malaria Control from Nigeria (with Yoonjei Dong, Sanghmitra Gautam,
Marcus Holmlund, Costas Meghir, and Edit Velenyi), 2025
Heterogeneous
Responses to Subsidies and Returns to Influenza Vaccination (with Mengna Luan,
Yiming Xia and Ting Zhang), 2025
Experimental impacts
of a virtual parenting program with mothers and fathers (with Lara Lebedinski,
Tamara Arnold Urzua, Julie Perng, Ana Maria Munoz Boudet and Katia Herrera
Sosa), 2025
Published and Forthcoming Papers
Forthcoming
Disruption in the Classroom: Experimental Evidence from Ecuador (with
Yyannu Cruz-Aguayo, Francesca Salvati, and Norbert Schady), conditionally
accepted in American Economic Journal: Applied Economics
Improving Parental Investments in Children: Experimental Evidence from
the Gambia (with Moussa Blimpo, Pamela Jervis, Nathalie Lahire and Todd Pugatch),
forthcoming in Journal of Human Capital
2026
The decision-makers we become: Early education and the decision-making of
boys and girls (with Joana Cardim, Leandro Carvalho and Damien de Walque), Journal
of Development Economics, 179, 103660
Can subsidized employment tackle long-term unemployment? Experimental
evidence from North Macedonia (with Alex Armand, Federico Tagliati and Yiming
Xia), Journal of Development Economics, 178, 103598
2025
The Effect of Classroom Rank on Learning Throughout Elementary School:
Experimental Evidence from Ecuador (with Yyannu Cruz-Aguayo, Francesca Salvati,
and Norbert Schady), Journal of Labor Economics, 43(2), 433-466
Impacts of Integrating Early Childhood with Health Services: Experimental
Evidence from the Cresca Com Seu Filho Home Visiting Program (with Florencia
Lopez Boo and Maria de La Paz Ferro), Journal of Human Capital, 19(1)
Theoretical and empirical perspectives on the link between poverty,
parenting and childrens outcomes (with Sarah Cattan and Henrique Neves), Fiscal
Studies, 46(1), 9-35
2024
Evaluating the Effects of a Large Scale
Parenting Intervention in Chile: Nadie Es
Perfecto (with Paula Bedregal, Miguel Cordero, Emanuela Galasso, Italo
Lopez Garcia), Journal of Political Economy, 132(4), 1113-1161
Still Flying: Reply to Not a Flying Start After All by Lillebo et al
(with Katrine Loken and Kjell Salvanes), Journal of Political Economy,
132(12), 4213-4222
The
Value of Private Schools: Evidence from Pakistan (with Jishnu Das and Hugo
Reis), Review of Economics and Statistics,
106(5), 1301-1318
2023
How Does Labor Demand React to Changes in the Supply of Skills? Evidence
from a Schooling Reform in Norway (with Kai Liu and Kjell Salvanes), Journal of the European Economic Association, 21(1), 48-92
Household Decisions and Intra-household Distributions (with Ingvild Almas
and Orazio Attanasio), in Handbook of
the Economics of the Family, eds. S. Lundberg and A. Voena, Elsevier, 1(1),
111-149
2022
Improving Access and Quality in Early Childhood Development Programs:
Experimental Evidence from the Gambia (with Moussa Blimpo, Pamela Jervis and
Todd Pugatch), Economic Development and Cultural Change, 70(4)
When Promising Interventions Fail: Personalized Coaching for Teachers in
a Middle Income Country (with Yyannu Cruz-Aguayo,
Ruthy Intriago, Juan Ponce, Norbert Schady, Sarah Schodt), Journal of Public
Economics Plus, 3, 100012
2021
The Impacts of a Multifaceted Pre-natal Intervention on Human Capital
Accumulation in Early Life (with Lucy Kraftman, Giacomo Mason, Lucie Moore,
Imran Rasul and Molly Scott), American Economic Review, 111(8), 2506-49
Intergenerational
Mobility and the Timing of Parental Income (with Italo Lopez-Garcia, Kjell
Salvanes, and Emma Tominey), Journal of Political Economy, 129(3), 757-788
2020
The Effect of Gender-Targeted Conditional Cash Transfers on Household
Expenditures: Evidence from a Randomized Experiment (with Alex Armand, Orazio
Attanasio and Valerie Lechene), The Economic Journal, 130(631), 1875-1897
Please
Call Me John: Name Choice and the Assimilation of Immigrants in the United
States, 1900-1930 (with Sokbae Lee and Hugo Reis), Labour Economics, 62
Optimal
Data Collection for Randomized Control Trials (with Sokbae Lee and Daniel
Wilhelm), The
Econometrics Journal, 23(1), 1-31
School
Grants and Education Quality: Experimental Evidence from Senegal (with Oswald
Koussihouede, Nathalie Lahire, Costas Meghir and Corina Mommaerts), Economica, 87, 28-51
2019
Tackling
Social Exclusion: Evidence from Chile (with Emanuela Galasso and Rita Ginja), Economic Journal, 129(617)
2018
Measuring
and Changing Control: Womens Empowerment and Targeted Transfers (with Ingvild
Almas, Alex Armand, and Orazio Attanasio), Economic Journal, 128(612)
Enforcement of Labor Regulation and Job Flows: Evidence from Brazilian
Cities (with Ana Abras, Rita Almeida and Carlos Corseuil), IZA Journal of Development and Migration, 8(1), 2018
2017
Do Public Health Interventions
Crowd Out Private Health Investments? Malaria Control Policies in Eritrea (with
Alex Armand, Andrea Locatelli, Selam Mihreteab and Joseph Keating), Labour Economics, 45, 107-115
Average and Marginal Returns to
Upper Secondary Schooling in Indonesia (with Michael Lokshin,Cristobal
Ridao-Cano, and Nithin Umapathi), Journal of Applied Econometrics, 31(4), 2017
2016
Teacher Quality and Learning
Outcomes in Kindergarten (with Caridad Araujo, Yyannu Cruz, and Norbert
Schady), Quarterly
Journal of Economics, 131(3), 2016
Partial Insurance and
Investments in Children (with Rita Ginja), Economic
Journal, 126 (596) F66-F95
Challenges to Promoting the
Social Inclusion of the Extreme Poor: Evidence from a Large
Scale Experiment in Colombia (with Laura Abramovsky, Orazio Attanasio,
Kai Barron, and George Stoye), Economia: Journal of the LACEA,
16(2), 2016
2015
A Flying Start? Long Term
Consequences of Maternal Time Investments in Children During the First Year of
Life (with Katrine Loken and Kjell Salvanes), Journal of Political Economy, 123(2), 2015
2014
Long Term Impacts of Compensatory Pre-School on Health and
Behavior: Evidence from Head Start (with Rita Ginja), American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, 6(4), 2014
2013
Maternal Education, Home Environments and Child
Development (with Costas Meghir and Matthias Parey), Journal of European Economic Association,
11 (S1), 2013
2012
Enforcement of Labor Regulation and Informality (with Rita
Almeida), American Economic Journal:
Applied Economics, 4(3), 2012
2011
Trends in Quality Adjusted Skill Premia in the United
States (with Sokbae Lee), American
Economic Review, 101 (6), 2011.
Estimating Marginal Returns to Education (with James
Heckman and Edward Vytlacil), American
Economic Review, 101 (6), 2011.
Evaluating Indoor Residual Spray for Reducing Malaria
Infection Prevalence in Eritrea: Results from a Community Randomized Control
Trial (with Joseph Keating, Andrea Locatelli, Andemariam Gebremichael, Tewolde
Ghebremeskel, Jacob Mufunda, SelamMihreteab and Daniel Berhane), Acta Tropica, 119 (2-3), 107-113, 2011
2010
Evaluating Marginal Policy Changes and the Average Effect
of Treatment for Individuals at the Margin (with James Heckman and Edward
Vytlacil), Econometrica, 78, 1, 2010.
The
economics of vocational education and training (with Lorraine Dearden and Anna
Vignoles), in International encyclopedia of education: volume 8, eds P
Peterson, E Baker & B McGaw, Elsevier, Oxford, pp.255-261, 2010.
2009
Estimating
Distributions of Potential Outcomes Using Instrumental Variables with an
Application to Changes in College Enrolment and Wage Inequality (with Sokbae
Lee), Journal of Econometrics, 2009
Enforcement of Regulation, Informal Employment, Firm Size
and Firm Performance (with Rita Almeida), Journal
of Comparative Economics, 2009
2008
The
Returns to Firm Investment in Human Capital (with Rita Almeida), Labour Economics, 2008
Inequality
of Opportunity and Inequality in Education Achievement in Portugal, Portuguese Economic Journal, 7(1), April
2008
2007
Which Skills Matter (with Claire Crawford and Alissa
Goodman), in D. Kehoe, Practice Makes
Perfect: The Importance of Practical Learning, Social Markets Foundation,
2007.
2005
Labor
Market Discrimination and Racial Differences in Pre-Market Factors (with James
Heckman and Dimitriy Masterov), Journal
of Law and Economics, 2005.
Understanding the Sources of
Ethnic and Racial Wage Gaps and Their Implications for Policy (with James J. Heckman and Dimitry V. Masterov), in L.
Nielsen and R. Nelson, Rights and Realities: Legal and Social Scientific
Approaches to Employment Discrimination, Springer-Verlag, 2005.
2004
Human
Capital Policy for Europe, European
Economy, Special Report no 3/2004, European Commision, 2004.
2003
Methods
for Evaluating the Impact of Education Policies when the Return to Education
Varies Across Individuals, Cuadernos de
Economia, 2003.
Estimating
Distributions of Counterfactuals with an Application to the Returns to
Schooling and Measurement of the Effect of Uncertainty on Schooling Choice
(with Karsten Hansen and James Heckman), International
Economic Review, 2003
Human
Capital Policy (with James Heckman), in Inequality
in America: What Role for Human Capital Policies (edited by James Heckman
and Alan Krueger), MIT Press, 2003.
2002
The
Evidence on Credit Constraints in Post-Secondary Schooling (with James
Heckman), Economic Journal, 2002.
2001
Removing
the Veil of Ignorance in Assessing the Distributional Impacts of Social Policy
(with Karsten Hansen and James Heckman), Swedish
Economic Policy Review, 2001.
Older Working
Papers
The Impact of Early Cognitive
and Non-Cognitive Skills on Later Outcomes (with Claire Crawford and Alissa
Goodman, 2007)