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The Great Unraveling: Losing Our Way in the New Century [BARGAIN PRICE] (Hardcover)
by Paul R. Krugman (Author) "A LOT HAS HAPPENED these past three years-stock market decline and business scandal, energy crisis and environmental backsliding, budget deficits and recession, terrorism and troubled..." (more)
Key Phrases: future tax cuts, surplus projections, payroll tax receipts, Social Security, New York, White House (more...)
		
	
 
210 customer reviews (210 customer reviews)
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The Great Unraveling is a chronicle of how "the heady optimism of the late 1990s gave way to renewed gloom as a result of "incredibly bad leadership, in the private sector and in the corridors of power." Offering his own take on the trickle-down theory, economist and columnist Paul Krugman lays much of the blame for a slew of problems on the Bush administration, which he views as a "revolutionary power...a movement whose leaders do not accept the legitimacy of our current political system." Declaring them radicals masquerading as moderates, he questions their motives on a range of issues, particularly their tax and Social Security plans, which he argues are "obviously, blatantly based on bogus arithmetic." Though a fine writer, Krugman relies more heavily on numbers than words to examine the current rash of corporate malfeasance, the rise and fall of the stock market bubble, the federal budget and the future of Social Security, and how a huge surplus quickly became a record deficit. He also rails against the news media for displaying a disturbing lack of skepticism and for failing to do even the most basic homework when reporting on business and economic issues. The book is mainly a collection of op-ed pieces Krugman wrote for The New York Times between 2000 and 2003. Overall, this format works well. Krugman writes clearly about complicated issues and offers plenty of evidence and hard facts to support his theories regarding the intersection of business, economics, and politics, making this a detailed, informative, and thought-provoking book. --Shawn Carkonen --This text refers to the Hardcover edition.

From Publishers Weekly
"This is not, I'm sorry to say, a happy book," says Krugman in the introduction to this collection of essays culled from his twice-weekly New York Times op-ed column, and indeed, the majority of these short pieces range from moderately bleak political punditry to full-on "the sky is falling" doom and gloom. A respected economist, Krugman dissects political and social events of the past decade by watching the dollars, and his ideas are emphatic if not always well argued. He has a somewhat boyish voice and a pleasingly enthusiastic tone, although his enthusiasm sometimes leads him to take liberties with punctuation. The essays are grouped thematically instead of chronologically, which gives this audio adaptation a scattershot feel. Since these pieces were written over a long stretch of time, certain key ideas recur quite often-political reporters don't pay enough attention to the real news, the Bush administration is dishonest, big corporations are inherently untrustworthy-and can become tedious. To his credit, Krugman is not entirely partisan-he reveals himself to be a free-market apologist-and even listeners who disagree with most of the things he says will likely be taken in by his warm and energetic delivery.
Copyright © Reed Business Information, a division of Reed Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved. --This text refers to an out of print or unavailable edition of this title.

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Product Details

    * Hardcover: 320 pages
    * Publisher: W. W. Norton & Company; 1st edition (September 2003)
    * Language: English
    * ISBN-10: 0393058506
    * ASIN: B000OZ28CE
    * Product Dimensions: 9 x 6.3 x 1.5 inches
    * Shipping Weight: 1.7 pounds (View shipping rates and policies)
    * Average Customer Review: based on 210 reviews. (Write a review.)
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First Sentence:
A LOT HAS HAPPENED these past three years-stock market decline and business scandal, energy crisis and environmental backsliding, budget deficits and recession, terrorism and troubled alliances, and now, finally, war. Read the first page
Key Phrases - Statistically Improbable Phrases (SIPs): (learn more)
future tax cuts, surplus projections, payroll tax receipts, prescription drug bill, big tax cuts, jobless recovery, drug insurance, bubble years, red states, blue states, revolutionary power
Key Phrases - Capitalized Phrases (CAPs): (learn more)
Social Security, New York, White House, Alan Greenspan, Dick Cheney, Bill Clinton, George Bush, Saddam Hussein, Clear Channel, Hong Kong, Wall Street, Fox News, New Jersey, President Bush, Congressional Budget Office, Federal Energy Regulatory Commission, North Korea, Street Journal, Federal Reserve, General Motors, Karl Rove, Paul Wellstone, State Department, The Financial Times, Bank of Japan
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Citations (learn more)
This book cites 10 books:

    * Stocks for the Long Run : The Definitive Guide to Financial Market Returns and Long-Term Investment Strategies by Jeremy J. Siegel on page 40, and page 47
    * Irrational Exuberance: Second Edition by Robert J. Shiller on page 34, and page 105
    * Economic Policy by G.B.J. Atkinson on page 84
    * Ministry of Defence by Great Britain on page 491
    * A World Restored by Henry A. Kissinger on page 5

See all 10 books this book cites
 
34 books cite this book:

    * Return of the "L" Word: A Liberal Vision for the New Century by Douglas S. Massey on 4 pages
    * 50 Reasons Not to Vote for Bush by Robert Sterling on page 63, page 66, and page 71
    * Windows on the Workplace: Technology, Jobs, and the Organization of Office Work by Joan Greenbaum in Back Matter (1), and Back Matter (2)
    * Why Liberals and Conservatives Clash by Bruce Fleming in Back Matter (1), and Back Matter (2)
    * Colossus: The Rise and Fall of the American Empire by Niall Ferguson in Back Matter

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342 of 387 people found the following review helpful:
What the doctor ordered, September 10, 2003
By 	Eric J. Lyman (Roma, Lazio Italy) - See all my reviews
   (TOP 1000 REVIEWER)    (REAL NAME)   
This review is from: The Great Unraveling: Losing Our Way in the New Century (Hardcover)
This is the book we've been waiting for! Unlike most other books in the genre, The Great Unraveling is smart and informed, it avoids selectively choosing facts that artificially make the author's points seem clearer than they are, and it does not rely on comedy as a substitute for insight and intelligence.

Bravo to author, columnist and economist Paul Krugman for creating the first political book I've seen this season that is at once honest enough, well researched enough, and also well written enough that it can target an audience that stretches far beyond the usual policy wonks and think tankers. Mr. Krugman somehow manages to be angry and sensible at the same time, no easy trick.

Yes, of course, the author has an agenda. But anyone who thinks it is a simple "get-Bush" agenda is looking at it too simply. In this book Mr. Krugman looks at policy with an extremely critical but fair eye -- exactly what the fourth estate is supposed to be doing. Thank goodness someone is still doing his job.

I have been a reader of Mr. Krugman's columns in the International Herald-Tribune for some time, and so I had read many of the "chapters" before they appeared in The Great Unraveling. But there is a great value to having all of these pieces in one place. And those who do not read Mr. Krugman's thoughts on a regular basis will find it hard to believe these writings were not written with the intention of forming a logical and cogent argument as they do on the book's 300-plus pages.

I have always thought that Mr. Krugman's strength is his ability as a writer to make complex arguments understandable without cheapening them, but what I like best about his work is that he uses his writing skill in a supporting role, letting the facts tell the true tale.

My complaint? I would have liked to see more new and longer commentary here. There is some, but one of the shortcomings to Mr. Krugman's normal forum in the New York Times is that he is limited to 500 or 750 words to make important points regarding issues as complex as the nation's budgetary problems, the justification for the war in Iraq, and corporate blunders. But I see no reason for such a limit here.

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260 of 311 people found the following review helpful:
Some Great Columns Add Up to Less-Than-Great Book, November 7, 2003
By 	David R. Harper (Los Angeles, CA USA) - See all my reviews
(REAL NAME)   
This review is from: The Great Unraveling: Losing Our Way in the New Century (Hardcover)
Of course a book like this is going to polarize people whose feet are already firmly planted on the "left" or the "right." But since most of the political pundits have stopped listening to each other, who cares? The pundits have their quotes ready (i.e., both in praise and in opposition) before the book even goes to print. The ammo flying back and forth is what makes me cynical about American politics, because it is so blatantly obvious that many in the political process don't give a hoot about the truth or making the country better, they just want to win at any cost. Krugman's book should be judged by its ability to persuade open-minded, independent-thinking people. Against this standard, the book is thought provoking and important but flawed.

The flaw arises because this is simply a collection of columns over a three-year period, organized thematically rather than chronologically. As such, Krugman's tendency is to repeat serious accusations rather than build a solid, fact-based and logically progressive argument. Let me be specific. Krugman is a serious economist with a serious concern about Bush's fiscal policy, and-if he is right-there is potentially a serious consequence. To boil it down and oversimplify, his argument on fiscal policy: 1. The Bush team cooked up its tax cut plan (which favors the wealthy) as a political maneuver largely to fend off Steve Forbes ahead of the 2000 election. 2. Then the Bush team remained inflexibly attached to the plan and it became the centerpiece of Bush's economic policy. 3. The tax cut was flawed especially on two counts: it could have better spurred consumer spending by giving more relief to ordinary Americans and it turned a surplus into a permanent deficit. 4. Bush then blamed the ensuing deficit on the war, but that was a scapegoat, because the tax cut had a much larger effect than the war (in any case, Krugman says that many of the war dollars are misdirected toward conventional weapons). 5. The ensuing fiscal squeeze will especially hurt Medicare (in particular, its extension to prescription drugs) and Social Security, which will have serious funding problems in the future as the ratio of workers-to-retirees decreases.

So, these are indeed serious charges. (And there are lots of related charges along the way. For example, the most serious may be that cronyism runs rampant in the Bush administration. In particular, he blames cronyism on inappropriate defense contracts, favoritism and permissiveness in dealing with the energy companies, and loose corporate governance oversight. He could surely benefit from some balance along the way, even if for rhetorical purposes. In matters of corporate governance, he forgets to put some of the blame on shareholders and pension funds, you know, the people with fiduciary responsibilities.)

But returning to the fiscal argument. The flaw is that, given this is a collection of newspaper columns, the accusations tend to get repeated rather than carefully constructed in a fact-based progression. So, I know he says that the tax cut idea was created to fend off Steve Forbes because it shows up in three or four (or more?) columns, but I don't know how to evaluate the veracity of this assertion. I read the book carefully and I still don't understand the basic mechanics of the Bush tax cut. Surely, in book format, Krugman missed a chance to first explain the basic mechanics of the plan before condemning it. But in this format instead, you are driven right to the accusations and you have to sort of piece together the underlying facts. Further, in book format, he could have better explained the Medicare issue (almost all coverage of Medicare is contained in a single column) and he could have better elaborated on the consequences of a structural deficit. As standalone pieces, however, some of the columns are definitely helpful. In particular, in "Slicing the Salami," he does a good job of explaining why you need to look at the total tax picture including payroll taxes.

Another slight weakness is, I suppose, the price of academic detachment. You sometimes get the feeling his ideas are not weathered by real-world experience. For example, he does a good job illustrating why executive stock options can be dangerous. But his solution-to simply use options indexed to a benchmark-is typically academic. A little boardroom exposure would make him (a) realize these vehicles are notoriously difficult to implement and (b) they are likely to promote, even amplify, the same short-sided, stock-price-obsessed behavior as regular stock options. But all in, I tend to find the benefit of his detachment more valuable than the cost of his academic perspective.

So, does the book make you think about terribly important issues? Absolutely. Does it conclusively persuade? Not really. For me, I couldn't put it down. He is a fantastic conversational writer, even as he's getting really mad and making you mad along with him, at times. So I was left thinking "Ohmygosh, if he's right, this is truly distressing, but is he right...?" Like I've suggested, I think a little balance would actually make him more persuasive and it wouldn't detract for the seriousness of the matter. How about throwing in a single good thing to say about Bush, are we beyond that? Nevertheless, there are some real gems in here (in particular, "7 Habits of Highly Defective Investors" explains exactly why you need to be careful with your investment dollars better than anywhere I have seen; his ice cream store analogy cleverly summarizes various accounting gimmicks, the "flavors of fraud" without ever using numbers!) and he is very handy with metaphors (e.g., "the US government is a big insurance company that also happens to have an army.").

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126 of 148 people found the following review helpful:
Excellent! No American should miss it!, November 23, 2003
By 	KnightofGod - See all my reviews
(TOP 500 REVIEWER)   
This review is from: The Great Unraveling: Losing Our Way in the New Century (Hardcover)
This book is essentially a collection of Krugman's writings on Fortune and New York Times from 1998 to 2002. I read some of them after the 97 Asian Crisis. Today is 22nd Nov 2003. What, and simply all, he said are still true today. He's a genius and really deserves a Nobel prize. To me, he already is. I think it is more appropriate to quote the praise of a Nobel Laureatet from the back cover of "The Accidential Theorist.." than to write one myself because it's completely applicable and I just could not think of anything better to praise his new book.

"When it comes to popularized economic wisdom, there are a lot of balloons of ignorance out there, many of them reinforced by self interest and self confidence. Fortunately Paul Krugman is also out there, popping those balloons with intelligence, style and wit. You can learn a great deal, about economics and otherwise, by reading these delightful essays."

Robert M. Solow, Nobel Laureate
MIT

Warning: Please be well prepared that this book will certainly send some chills to your bone because it is so hard to believe that the current U.S. president and his administration are no better than the swindlers in the Enron and Worldcom scams.

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One long editorial
I am not a fan of George Bush, and was hoping this book would provide a comprehensive critique of his economic policies. Read more
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